International Business

African Economic Outlook 2009 by OECD OCDE


The African monetary Outlook 2009 reports the hot fiscal state of affairs and predicts the non permanent evolution of forty seven African international locations which account for ninety nine% of the continent's monetary output and ninety seven% of its inhabitants. The Outlook is drawn from a country-by-country research in response to a special analytical layout. This universal framework features a forecasting workout for the present and the 2 following years, utilizing an easy macroeconomic version, including an research of the social and political context. This Overview includes a comparative synthesis of African nation customers, putting the evolution of African economies on the planet financial context. it is usually a bit on innovation and data and conversation applied sciences (ICTs) in Africa, proposing a finished overview in their proliferation and use at the African continent, in addition to a statistical annex. A URL is supplied for linking to the full-length kingdom notes.

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Sample text

Unlike metals, coffee prices continued to rise in the third quarter of 2008 before falling back in the fourth quarter, suggesting that commodity traders may have been pushing prices higher than warranted by the fundamentals. Prices for the month of December 2008 were markedly lower than for the year as a whole, down 15 and 22 per cent for Arabica and Robusta, respectively. In the case of the latter the December price was 5 per cent lower than the average price in 2007 due to a recovery of production in Viet Nam.

AfDB/OECD 2009 African Economic Outlook 43 Overview Nevertheless, the impact of tighter credit conditions on African small and medium businesses is likely to be limited. Most companies have always had very limited access to bank credit, which accounts for example for only 10 per cent of the capital lent to Nigeria’s manufacturing sector. As private sources of capital dry up, so development finance institutions, such as the IFC, will have a critical role to play. The African Development Bank’s plans to triple lending for African infrastructure schemes in an effort to salvage key projects are an indication of the increasingly important role multilaterals, development banks and DFIs may be led to play should downside risks materialise fully.

To achieve this target, donors would need to boost their aid to Africa between 2007 and 2010 by over 17 per cent annually (See 2009 DAC OECD Report’s Annex A, Chart 5). Based on their performance in 2007, several G8 countries would need sharp increases in their aid to meet their commitments. 53 billion in 2008 and 2009, respectively24. Non-DAC donors, have increased their ODA to the continent. On the basis of the available information, it appears that China has played a variety of roles in Africa: trading partner, donor, financier and investor, contractor and builder.

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